Vis sammendrag
Celiac disease (CeD) is a lifelong immune-mediated condition that affects genetically susceptible individuals worldwide and is triggered by consuming gluten, a protein found in wheat, rye, and barley. It presents with a wide range of symptoms, from mild gastrointestinal complaints like bloating, constipation and stomach pain to severe complications such as anemia, osteoporosis, and infertility. Among adults, atypical symptoms like fatigue, brain fog, and mental distress are more common, leading to misdiagnosis or remaining undiagnosed, contributing to the iceberg like nature of CeD. In Norway, biopsy-confirmed diagnosis is double the global average, with 55% of these being previously undiagnosed. Fortunately, awareness of the disease and advancements in diagnostic technologies have led to increasing detection rates in recent studies. Currently, the only treatment is strict adherence to a gluten-free diet.
The Trøndelag Health Study (HUNT4), conducted between 2017 and 2019 in Nord-Trøndelag County, Norway, invited 103,000 adults (aged ≥20 years) to participate. A total of 56,042 individuals participated, 54.6% of whom were women. HUNT is a unique longitudinal database of questionnaire data, clinical measurements and samples from the county’s inhabitants from 1984. From HUNT2 onwards, all biological samples were genotyped, providing a rich resource of genetic data. From HUNT4, 826 individuals were identified as biopsy-confirmed eD, of these 361 were identified through hospital-based medical journal searches, and 465 individuals were newly diagnosed. With genetic information, also available for all individuals from HUNT4, we performed genome-wide association analysis, polygenic risk scoring for comparison between the two groups, and finally tested a clinical prediction model corporating genetics, lifestyle, symptoms, comorbidities, and biomarkers to aid clinicians.
A novel locus in a non-protein-coding region (5p15.33) was identified, adding to the 42 previously known loci. On average, individuals with CeD had a PRS of 1.7 units, placing them at 3.5 times higher risk compared to the general population. The previously known cases and newly diagnosed cases were comparable based on the genetic risk load that carry both at an aggregated PRS level as well as at variant level. PRS had a slightly higher (comparable) discriminatory power compared to the HLA haplotypes. Finally, clinical aid achieved high discrimination between cases and healthy individuals. The model at low predicted risk probability was able to capture more actual cases compared to general population screening.
In conclusion, this thesis sets out to explore the genetic and environmental underpinnings of celiac disease in a large, population-based cohort, and it has yielded several important findings. The study confirmed that genetic variants associated with CeD are not limited to protein-coding or immune-specific regions, highlighting the relevance of non-coding loci such as 5p15.33. It also demonstrated that both newly detected and previously undiagnosed individuals carry similar genetic risk, distinguishing them from non-cases. By leveraging polygenic risk scores, the study established a strong association between genetic predisposition and CeD. The combination of genetic and non-genetic factors further enhances case detection at true population prevalence settings. The study is limited with lack of external validation for the genetic findings as well as for the clinical prediction model. Future studies require more ethnically diverse population, with longitudinal information on environmental factors to determine causal pathways outside genetics. This would enhance the understanding the disease and prevent and manage the disease better.